It’s been awhile since a Bollywood biggie released, the last one being Badrinath Ki Dulhania which wasn’t some Tentpole either but better than most. This week see release of Half Girlfriend from the pen of 3 Idiots, 2 States & Kai Po Che, all having good reception.
Baahubali The Conclusion is likely to remain the top film with another 47-48% drop for ₹49-52cr 4th weekend. As the case with each weekend so far this will be biggest 4th frame ever for any film in India. Film will be crossing ₹1200cr by the end of Sunday. As for worldwide total,it is over ₹1440cr which will surpass ₹1500cr by end of weekend.
Half Girlfriend is looking like will settle at second, though could be a tight finish between Baahubali 2, if film outpace the industry expectations of ₹42-50cr from an estimated 1800 locations (2500 screens). Film was looking at much bigger bow before the team throw in the audio and visual promos which were well off the expectations from Mohit Suri’s Aashiqui 2 & Ek Villain. A lot will be depending on that Saturday bump as business today is such that Friday of, say ₹10cr, can be flat ₹35cr or ₹45cr with a Saturday bump and this film looks like something in middle ground. We expect film to start with ₹12.5-13cr Friday followed by a 3.35 weekend multiple for ₹41-42cr 1st frame.
At distant 3rd will be Hindi Medium. Film will start low but again a Saturday film which will be deciding it’s fate. We expect the film to gross in same range of actor’s last Madaari, 12-13cr, though it has every chance of bigger start. In limited release, Telugu film Keshava and Malayalam film Godha targets a ₹4cr weekend each.
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